New Poll Shows Increasing Americans Want Kavanaugh Confirmed

WASHINGTON, DC - FEBRUARY 05: U.S. Acting Associate Attorney General Tony West speaks during a news conference with attorneys general from eight states and the District of Columbia at the Department of Justice February 5, 2013 in Washington, DC. U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder announced that the United States is bringing a civil lawsuit against the ratings agency Standards & Poor's and its parent company, McGraw-Hill Companies, over its pre-fiscal crisis bond ratings. (Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

Support for the Senate to confirm Brett Kavanaugh to the U.S. Supreme Court has risen among Americans, according to the results of a new poll.

More than 1,100 participants in a new Quinnipiac poll were asked simply, “As you may know, President Trump has nominated Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court. Do you think the U.S. Senate should confirm Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court, or not?”

Forty-four percent of those polled answered “yes/confirm” while thirty-nine percent said “no.” Seventeen percent responded “don’t know” or “not applicable.”

Taken by themselves, the results show a mixed batch of support and opposition to the confirmation vote. Compare these results to those taken from the same poll just one month ago and a clear pattern is seen: there is a trend favoring Kavanaugh.

As Republican Senators look to have Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh confirmed by the November congressional elections, the results of the new poll indicate momentum building for the federal judge.

An overwhelming majority of Republicans in the poll (81 percent ) support the confirmation. Conversely, 74 percent of Democrats oppose it. Interestingly, more Democrats support the confirmation (8 percent) than Republicans who oppose it (5 percent).

Men generally support confirmation 49 – 36 percent while women are more divided on the issue, 38 percent back confirmation and 41 percent oppose it.

Washington Examiner reports the increased support for the confirmation primarily comes from Independent voters:

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Back on July 25, Quinnipiac poll found that a slightly smaller 40 percent of respondents supported his confirmation to the Supreme court. Forty-one percent said they opposed it, while the remaining 18 percent said they weren’t sure.

The surveys are only three weeks apart. The growing support from Kavanaugh is coming primarily from independents.

The trend favoring Trump’s second pick to the Supreme Court comes amid reports that a growing number of Democratic senators say they’re considering meeting with the judge.

Kavanaugh has met with both Republicans and some Democrats ahead of his confirmation vote, but there is no indication that Republicans have the votes to have him confirmed.

On paper, Republicans hold a 51-49 majority – if all Republicans are present to vote and do so in favor of Kavanaugh – which is hardly the case.

The margin of error is changed only slightly when other factors are taken into account. Democrats in states that Trump won in 2016, who are also up for re-election in 2018, may be more likely to support Kavanaugh’s confirmation, especially since they supported the confirmation of Supreme Court Justice Neil Gorsuch.

These senators include North Dakota’s Sen. Heidi Heitkamp, Indiana’s Sen. Joe Donnelly, and West Virginia’s Joe Manchin.

There are 10 Democrats running for re-election in states Trump carried in 2016, CNN reports. But Republicans could have some votes cross the proverbial aisle as well. Senators Lisa Murkowski of Alaska and Susan Collins of Maine have vocalized concerns over Kavanaugh’s record, especially his anti-abortion stance.

Many senators from both parties are waiting to say one way or the other how they will vote until they can access and assess Kavanaugh’s extensive federal record. Others still are probably waiting to watch how he answers questions at his confirmation hearing with the Senate Judiciary Committee.


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