Democratic presidential candidate Elizabeth Warren surged in a new ABC News/Washington Post poll, but her second-place position may be shakier than the numbers first suggest.
The new Democratic presidential poll shows Warren has passed Senator Bernie Sanders as she has nearly doubled her support from the same poll earlier in the year. She sits just behind former vice president Joe Biden.
The 21 percent Warren received in the poll is up from the 17 percent she received during the same poll in September and the 11 percent she received in July but most of those who voted for her—a sizeable 65 percent—said they could change their support and back another candidate, ABC News reports.
MORE: 65% of Elizabeth Warren’s supporters say they’d consider someone else, compared with 43% among Joe Biden’s supporters and 50% among supporters of all other candidates combined. https://t.co/qGAFHvRApe https://t.co/kcMw5CIlTI
— ABC News Politics (@ABCPolitics) November 3, 2019
Here’s more, from ABC News:
Who might their second choices be? Current Biden supporters divide chiefly between Sanders (31%) and Warren (26%) as their fallback preference, with 8% apiece for Harris and Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar and 7% for Buttigieg. Warren voters go more for Sanders (36%) than Biden (17%) as their second choice, with 11% each for Harris and Buttigieg and 6% for former Housing and Urban Development Secretary Julián Castro.
Among all leaned Democrats who support someone other than Biden or Warren, second choice preferences divide between Biden, 24% and Warren, 23%, with all others in the single digits.
In terms of candidate attributes, perhaps most seriously, given his Oct. 1 heart attack, leaned Democrats divide about evenly, 48-45%, on whether or not Sanders, 78, is in good enough overall health to serve as president. That’s a stark contrast to both Biden, age 76, seen as in good enough health by 74%, and Warren, age 70, seen as healthy by 80%.
Democrats started the presidential election with the most candidates in their history but, nearing one year until the 2020 general election, the pack is beginning to narrow to just a handful of leading candidates.
The group shrunk even further when former Texas Congressman Beto O’Rourke ended his bid on Friday.
“My service to the country will not be as a candidate or as the nominee. Acknowledging this now is in the best interests of those in the campaign; it is in the best interests of this party as we seek to unify around a nominee, and it is in the best interests of the country,” O’Rourke said in a social media post.
“We will work to ensure that the Democratic nominee is successful in defeating Donald Trump in 2020. I can tell you firsthand from having the chance to know the candidates, we will be well served by any one of them, and I’m going to be proud to support whoever she or he is,” he added.
Thank you for making this campaign possible, and for continuing to believe that we can turn this moment of great peril into a moment of great promise for America and the world.
— Beto O'Rourke (@BetoORourke) November 1, 2019
Note: The author of this article has included commentary that expresses an opinion and analysis of the facts.