Warren Falls, Biden Moves To Comfortable Lead In Nevada, South Carolina, And California

As Democratic presidential candidates brace for the holiday season and prepare for their sixth presidential debate, a new poll finds Senator Elizabeth Warren may be falling from the top spots she held in national polling as well as key primary states like Iowa and New Hampshire.

While Warren was rising in the polls, with one putting her over former Vice President Joe Biden, she has now fallen nearly ten points behind him.

FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver reports Biden was the top-ranked candidate with 26.4 percent of the vote in a new polling average of a CNN poll, SurveyUSA national and California polls, and an Emerson New Hampshire poll.

Warren and Senator Bernie Sanders trailed in second and third place with 16.9 percent and 16.5 percent, respectively.

South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg (9.6 percent), Senator Kamala Harris (4 percent), and businessman Andrew Yang (3.1 percent) followed the frontrunners. No other candidate received above 3 percent.

Early state voting averages also showed Warren in a decline as she placed third in Iowa and fourth in New Hamshire.

In Iowa, Buttigieg won with 23.9 percent of the vote. Biden took second place with 17.4 percent and Warren took third with 14.2 percent.

In New Hampshire, Sanders narrowly won with 18.7 percent of the vote and Buttigieg followed with 18.1 percent. Biden took third with 15.1 percent of the vote and Warren got 14.4 percent.

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The next two states in order of the primaries, Nevada and South Carolina, showed a commanding lead for Biden. The former vice president took 27.4 percent of the vote in Nevada to Sanders’ 19/5 percent, Warren’s 16.6 percent, and Buttigieg’s 9 percent. Biden won South Carolina with a resounding 37.5 percent of the vote to Sanders’ 13 percent, Warren’s 10.5 percent, and Buttigieg’s 6.8 percent.

Biden also topped the ranks in California with 23.3 percent. Sanders (18.3 percent), Warren (16.1 percent), Buttigieg (9 percent), and Harris (8 percent) all followed.

The Independent Journal Review reports these figures were similarly represented in the results of a Quinnipiac poll released on Tuesday:

Sen. Elizabeth Warren’s national polling numbers took a nosedive on Tuesday.

Warren, who had been leading the field in an October 24th Quinnipiac poll with 28 percent of voters supporting her candidacy, saw her numbers drop to just 14 percent in the same poll taken this week. Former Vice President Joe Biden moved into first place with 24 percent of the vote, up from 21 percent, and South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg moved up to second place in the polls with 16 percent of the vote.

Voters in the poll were asked if the Democratic primary were being held today, which of the current candidates they’d vote for. Warren saw the biggest change in her polling numbers of any candidate, and it comes as the Iowa caucuses are just two months away.

“Biden is back on top of the pack but now there is a 3-way race for second. Buttigieg has broken into the top tier, apparently at the expense of Warren, who has taken a dive after being hammered for being too far left on health care and other issues,” Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy said.


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